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Global Negotiation Cockpit

As part of our international research activities, we observe global negotiation cases and asses their potential outcomes. Our global negotiation cockpit gives an overview and risk assessment of current global negotiation cases.

Global Negotiation Cockpit

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[{"name":"Brussels, Belgium","status":"yellow","comment":"EU-Ratspräsident Herman Van Rompuy hat die Regierungen der 27 EU-Staaten zu einem runden Paket zur Lösung der Schuldenkrise aufgefordert. Dazu gehörten ein besseres Krisenmanagement sowie mittelfristig weitere Schritte zur Stärkung der Wirtschaftsunion. Die Verhandlungen dürfen nicht scheitern, sonst geht noch mehr Vertrauen verloren.","location":{"latitude":"50.848381","longitude":"4.349680"}},{"name":"Athens, Greece","status":"red","comment":"The decisions of the troika must be implemented. Time will tell whether the results may be enforced against the will of many citizens.","location":{"latitude":"37.976151","longitude":"23.736410"}},{"name":"Rome, Italy","status":"green","comment":"Europe's politicians would be well advised if they would all act like the new Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti: plan, act, silence.","location":{"latitude":"41.903111","longitude":"12.495760"}},{"name":"New York, NY, USA","status":"yellow","comment":"„Occupy Wall Street” is not giving up. It would be important for the movement to make clear demands in order to start negotiations.","location":{"latitude":"40.714550","longitude":"-74.007118"}},{"name":"Washington, DC, USA","status":"red","comment":"President Obama injected himself into a multilayered negotiation that was far more chaotic and contentious than anticipated - frozen by longstanding divisions between rich and poor nations and a legacy of mistrust of the United States, which has long refused to accept any binding limits on its greenhouse gas emissions.","location":{"latitude":"38.899101","longitude":"-77.028999"}},{"name":"Bonn, Germany","status":"yellow","comment":"Afghanistan Conference. Low Level of positive steps for political and economical improvement in Afghanistan.","location":{"latitude":"50.732300","longitude":"7.101690"}},{"name":"Tehran, Iran","status":"yellow","comment":"The conflict between Iran and the USA in the Persian Gulf becomes more serious. First, the government in Teheran threatened to block oil transports in the strategically important Strait of Hormuz and now announces maneuvers with “long-range missiles”","location":{"latitude":"35.671940","longitude":"51.424438"}}]
[{"name":"Zurich, Switzerland","status":"headquarter","comment":"","location":{"latitude":"47.377060","longitude":"8.539550"}},{"name":"New York City, NY, USA","status":"headquarter","comment":"","location":{"latitude":"40.714550","longitude":"-74.007118"}},{"name":"Hong Kong, China","status":"headquarter","comment":"","location":{"latitude":"22.283319","longitude":"114.158722"}}]

Washington, USA

President Obama injected himself into a multilayered negotiation that was far more chaotic and contentious than anticipated - frozen by longstanding divisions between rich and poor nations and a legacy of mistrust of the United States, which has long refused to accept any binding limits on its greenhouse gas emissions.

Bonn, Germany

Afghanistan Conference. Low Level of positive steps for political and economical improvement in Afghanistan

Tehran, Iran

The conflict between Iran and the USA in the Persian Gulf becomes more serious. First, the government in Teheran threatened to block oil transports in the strategically important Strait of Hormuz—and now, in addition, it announces maneuvers with “long-range missiles”. 

The threat has an important function in a negotiation process—a negotiation party demonstrates power and forces the opposing party to act.
First, Iran threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz, now come the long-range missiles, and in early January, other threats will follow.
 
There is no danger yet, because the threats were communicated “just” by deputies, but not by the decision makers.
So far, President Mahmud Ahmadinejad kept silent in the verbal power struggle. And both the Iranian ministry of defense and the Iranian ministry of external affairs kept quiet in the background.
 
In no event, however, shall the United States express a counter-threat. This would be the action that Iran desires.
It will become exciting in January, when the first sanctions by Iran should come. But right now, nothing can happen; in our view, the escalation is still in the “yellow” range.


Negotiation Cockpit Key

  • Red

  • Yellow

  • Green