Today in RiyadhThe second round of negotiations commences today in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, with the goal of achieving a ceasefire in the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Unlike the first round, the Russian delegation will be participating this time. The United States, represented by chief negotiator Steve Witkoff, has extended the invitation. A “shuttle diplomacy” approach will be used to explore potential agreements.In my assessment, there are several concerns:
Firstly, the role of the United States has not been clearly defined. Is the USA truly acting as a neutral mediator without its own interests, or is it a negotiating partner with specific interests? In my view, the USA is a negotiating partner and thus cannot simultaneously serve as a mediator, since “shuttle diplomacy” requires neutrality.
Secondly, Russia has dispatched "low-level" negotiators to Riyadh. According to my sources, Karassin and Bessela do not belong to President Putin's inner circle and lack concrete negotiating mandates.
Thirdly, the USA seems to have lost focus. Witkoff’s statement indicates that discussions are centered around the “energy infrastructure ceasefire” and the “Black Sea moratorium”. He claims these issues are significant impediments being addressed, although no prior conversation about the Black Sea moratorium had taken place. This misrepresentation diverts attention from the primary negotiation points.
Actions speak louder than words. Despite verbal indications of nearing a ceasefire agreement, recent actions, such as the bombardment of Kyiv last night, show we are far from achieving peace.I maintain my perspective: Putin’s aim in these negotiations is to foster disagreement. He will propose minor concessions, emphasize his long-term peace aspirations, but continue military operations.
President Trump must exercise discernment and avoid being misled by rhetoric.